2018 UGX to SLL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.2721 SLL

YEARLY LOW

1.6128 SLL

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0710 SLL

2018 UGX to SLL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to SLL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 2.2721. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 1.6128.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6593 SLL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.1060 to the December average rate of 2.2590, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.27% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.2721 was up 6.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.1300, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,360 SLL

2017 Average 10,336 SLL

Yearly Trough Low 8,064 SLL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,296.36 SLL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.3147

1.6468

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SLL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0457, compared to 2.0963 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0506 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0457

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0963

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.4998 SLL (High: 2.2440 / Low: 1.7443). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0220 SLL (High: 2.1119 / Low: 2.0899).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.4998

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0220

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.2986 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2986

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 2.2590) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.1081), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1510 (+7.16%).

2018 Avg (December) 2.2590

2017 Avg (December) 2.1081

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.1188	2.0940	2.1060
February	2.1251	2.0978	2.1084
March	2.1119	2.0899	2.0999
April	2.1016	2.0709	2.0816
May	2.1037	2.0562	2.0883
June	2.0737	1.6128	1.7898
July	1.7624	1.6165	1.7024
August	2.2440	1.7443	1.9442
September	2.2289	2.1921	2.2066
October	2.2400	2.1937	2.2205
November	2.2631	2.2328	2.2450
December	2.2721	2.2435	2.2590