2019 UGX to SLL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.5820 SLL

YEARLY LOW

1.8924 SLL

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.1614 SLL

2019 UGX to SLL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the UGX to SLL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 12, valuing the pair at 2.5820. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 1, dropping to 1.8924.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6896 SLL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2650 to the December average rate of 2.0350, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2.5820 was up 13.64% compared to the 2018 peak of 2.2721, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,910 SLL

2018 Average 10,353 SLL

Yearly Trough Low 9,462 SLL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,448.17 SLL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2.3212

1.8768

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SLL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.2523, compared to 2.0704 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1819 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.2523

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0704

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.6411 SLL (High: 2.5735 / Low: 1.9323). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0137 SLL (High: 2.2717 / Low: 2.2580).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.6411

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0137

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.3147 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3147

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2019: 2.2290) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2.2066), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0224 (+1.02%).

2019 Avg (September) 2.2290

2018 Avg (September) 2.2066

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.2939	2.2461	2.2650
February	2.2897	2.2652	2.2841
March	2.2717	2.2580	2.2645
April	2.2596	2.2325	2.2442
May	2.2411	2.2189	2.2274
June	2.4206	1.9082	2.2286
July	1.9338	1.8924	1.9139
August	2.5735	1.9323	2.2298
September	2.5820	1.9752	2.2290
October	2.0151	1.9880	2.0025
November	2.0193	2.0049	2.0124
December	2.0460	2.0076	2.0350