2012 UGX to SLL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.9007 SLL

YEARLY LOW

1.6037 SLL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7399 SLL

2012 UGX to SLL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the UGX to SLL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 7, valuing the pair at 1.9007. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 29, dropping to 1.6037.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2970 SLL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8176 to the December average rate of 1.6213, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.9007 was up 2.56% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.8533, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,504 SLL

2011 Average 8,615 SLL

Yearly Trough Low 8,019 SLL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,485.02 SLL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.8902

1.5969

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SLL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7822, compared to 1.6976 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0847 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7822

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6976

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.1404 SLL (High: 1.8894 / Low: 1.7490). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0307 SLL (High: 1.7557 / Low: 1.7250).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1404

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0307

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1058 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1058

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 1.8658) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.8054), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0604 (+3.35%).

2012 Avg (February) 1.8658

2011 Avg (February) 1.8054

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8894	1.7490	1.8176
February	1.9007	1.7730	1.8658
March	1.7917	1.6986	1.7600
April	1.7823	1.7257	1.7437
May	1.7688	1.7345	1.7534
June	1.7689	1.7375	1.7530
July	1.7709	1.6948	1.7561
August	1.7557	1.7250	1.7449
September	1.7444	1.6990	1.7283
October	1.7120	1.6724	1.6824
November	1.6815	1.6037	1.6525
December	1.6367	1.6046	1.6213