2014 UGX to SLL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7729 SLL

YEARLY LOW

1.5217 SLL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6728 SLL

2014 UGX to SLL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to SLL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 18, valuing the pair at 1.7729. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1.5217.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2512 SLL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7305 to the December average rate of 1.5539, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.7729 was up 2.09% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.7366, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,865 SLL

2013 Average 8,360 SLL

Yearly Trough Low 7,609 SLL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,256.13 SLL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.7736

1.5339

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SLL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7166, compared to 1.6289 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0876 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7166

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6289

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.0628 SLL (High: 1.6575 / Low: 1.5947). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0311 SLL (High: 1.6906 / Low: 1.6596).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0628

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0311

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0441 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0441

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2014: 1.7536) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.6246), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1290 (+7.94%).

2014 Avg (February) 1.7536

2013 Avg (February) 1.6246

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7518	1.7114	1.7305
February	1.7729	1.7156	1.7536
March	1.7242	1.6848	1.7095
April	1.7281	1.6759	1.7113
May	1.7288	1.6906	1.7121
June	1.7033	1.6571	1.6824
July	1.6762	1.6250	1.6515
August	1.6906	1.6596	1.6741
September	1.6824	1.6463	1.6667
October	1.6575	1.5947	1.6300
November	1.6217	1.5715	1.5975
December	1.5839	1.5217	1.5539