2013 UGX to SLL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7366 SLL

YEARLY LOW

1.5950 SLL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6718 SLL

2013 UGX to SLL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the UGX to SLL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 1.7366. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 8, dropping to 1.5950.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1416 SLL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6159 to the December average rate of 1.7239, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.7366 was down 8.63% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.9007, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,683 SLL

2012 Average 8,697 SLL

Yearly Trough Low 7,975 SLL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 708.10 SLL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.7346

1.6051

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SLL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6483, compared to 1.6953 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0470 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6483

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6953

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 0.0552 SLL (High: 1.7129 / Low: 1.6577). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0165 SLL (High: 1.6819 / Low: 1.6654).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0552

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0165

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0103 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0103

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 1.7239) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.6213), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1025 (+6.32%).

2013 Avg (December) 1.7239

2012 Avg (December) 1.6213

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6272	1.5950	1.6159
February	1.6385	1.6083	1.6246
March	1.6656	1.6198	1.6392
April	1.7129	1.6577	1.6771
May	1.6917	1.6499	1.6669
June	1.6774	1.6583	1.6664
July	1.6789	1.6618	1.6705
August	1.6819	1.6654	1.6743
September	1.6958	1.6652	1.6818
October	1.7241	1.6868	1.7084
November	1.7234	1.7015	1.7131
December	1.7366	1.7093	1.7239