2015 UGX to SLL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.5298 SLL

YEARLY LOW

1.0140 SLL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2973 SLL

2015 UGX to SLL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to SLL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 17, valuing the pair at 1.5298. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 2, dropping to 1.0140.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5159 SLL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4760 to the December average rate of 1.2484, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.5298 was down 13.71% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.7729, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,649 SLL

2014 Average 8,361 SLL

Yearly Trough Low 5,070 SLL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,579.34 SLL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.5622

0.9730

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SLL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4505, compared to 1.1442 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3062 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4505

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1442

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was November, with a trading range of 0.2613 SLL (High: 1.3152 / Low: 1.0539). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0091 SLL (High: 1.0259 / Low: 1.0168).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2613

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0091

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1580 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1580

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2015: 1.5131) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1.7536), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2405 (-13.71%).

2015 Avg (February) 1.5131

2014 Avg (February) 1.7536

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5283	1.4383	1.4760
February	1.5298	1.4895	1.5131
March	1.5216	1.4481	1.4838
April	1.4700	1.4425	1.4560
May	1.4585	1.4169	1.4391
June	1.4249	1.2615	1.3346
July	1.2816	1.1544	1.2249
August	1.1541	1.0251	1.0669
September	1.0259	1.0168	1.0221
October	1.0592	1.0140	1.0287
November	1.3152	1.0539	1.2744
December	1.2821	1.2269	1.2484