2011 UGX to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6998 SOS

YEARLY LOW

0.5632 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6425 SOS

2011 UGX to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 0.6998. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 0.5632.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1365 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6877 to the December average rate of 0.6622, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.6998 was down 11.13% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.7874, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,499 SOS

2010 Average 3,580 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 2,816 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 682.60 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.6987

0.5664

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6732, compared to 0.6117 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0615 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6732

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6117

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.0744 SOS (High: 0.6757 / Low: 0.6014). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0078 SOS (High: 0.6724 / Low: 0.6646).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0744

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0078

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0353 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0353

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.6877) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.7721), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0844 (-10.93%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.6877

2010 Avg (January) 0.7721

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6998	0.6686	0.6877
February	0.6934	0.6732	0.6823
March	0.6776	0.6608	0.6683
April	0.6867	0.6707	0.6746
May	0.6724	0.6646	0.6690
June	0.6757	0.6014	0.6576
July	0.6396	0.6090	0.6285
August	0.6257	0.5764	0.5932
September	0.5849	0.5649	0.5775
October	0.6292	0.5632	0.5797
November	0.6478	0.6167	0.6294
December	0.6895	0.6225	0.6622