2012 UGX to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7043 SOS

YEARLY LOW

0.5971 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6482 SOS

2012 UGX to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the UGX to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 7, valuing the pair at 0.7043. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.5971.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1072 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6755 to the December average rate of 0.6034, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.7043 was up 0.65% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.6998, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,521 SOS

2011 Average 3,211 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 2,986 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 535.93 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.7054

0.5941

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6633, compared to 0.6332 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0301 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6633

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6332

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.0405 SOS (High: 0.7043 / Low: 0.6638). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0084 SOS (High: 0.6590 / Low: 0.6506).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0405

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0084

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0410 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0410

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 0.6961) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.6823), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0138 (+2.03%).

2012 Avg (February) 0.6961

2011 Avg (February) 0.6823

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6994	0.6593	0.6755
February	0.7043	0.6638	0.6961
March	0.6645	0.6350	0.6551
April	0.6562	0.6408	0.6490
May	0.6588	0.6450	0.6530
June	0.6582	0.6402	0.6510
July	0.6590	0.6506	0.6554
August	0.6579	0.6441	0.6516
September	0.6503	0.6348	0.6450
October	0.6350	0.6222	0.6276
November	0.6260	0.5987	0.6162
December	0.6091	0.5971	0.6034