2015 UGX to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2603 SOS

YEARLY LOW

0.1735 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2108 SOS

2015 UGX to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 0.2603. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 4, dropping to 0.1735.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0869 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2510 to the December average rate of 0.1833, the exchange rate registered a net change of -26.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.2603 was down 42.06% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.4494, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,302 SOS

2014 Average 1,761 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 867 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 434.43 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.2585

0.1678

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2367, compared to 0.1849 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0518 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2367

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1849

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was June, with a trading range of 0.0186 SOS (High: 0.2289 / Low: 0.2102). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0038 SOS (High: 0.2369 / Low: 0.2332).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0186

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0038

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0155 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0155

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.2510) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.4418), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1909 (-43.20%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.2510

2014 Avg (January) 0.4418

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2603	0.2451	0.2510
February	0.2469	0.2419	0.2444
March	0.2428	0.2323	0.2384
April	0.2369	0.2332	0.2342
May	0.2347	0.2287	0.2327
June	0.2289	0.2102	0.2192
July	0.2108	0.1933	0.2040
August	0.1954	0.1818	0.1885
September	0.1817	0.1737	0.1774
October	0.1804	0.1735	0.1754
November	0.1858	0.1744	0.1807
December	0.1862	0.1786	0.1833