2014 UGX to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4494 SOS

YEARLY LOW

0.2544 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3526 SOS

2014 UGX to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.4494. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 0.2544.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1950 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4418 to the December average rate of 0.2642, the exchange rate registered a net change of -40.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.4494 was down 26.95% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.6152, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,247 SOS

2013 Average 2,714 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 1,272 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 975.02 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.4596

0.2465

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4020, compared to 0.3032 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0988 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4020

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3032

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.0313 SOS (High: 0.3230 / Low: 0.2917). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0048 SOS (High: 0.3263 / Low: 0.3216).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0313

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0048

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0312 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0312

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.4418) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.5961), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1543 (-25.88%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.4418

2013 Avg (January) 0.5961

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4494	0.4347	0.4418
February	0.4399	0.4148	0.4331
March	0.4142	0.3866	0.4019
April	0.3919	0.3823	0.3882
May	0.3883	0.3717	0.3835
June	0.3732	0.3537	0.3634
July	0.3542	0.3241	0.3427
August	0.3263	0.3216	0.3234
September	0.3230	0.2917	0.3136
October	0.2950	0.2879	0.2915
November	0.2935	0.2693	0.2837
December	0.2727	0.2544	0.2642