2013 UGX to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6152 SOS

YEARLY LOW

0.4436 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5433 SOS

2013 UGX to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the UGX to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 15, valuing the pair at 0.6152. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.4436.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1716 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5961 to the December average rate of 0.4639, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.17% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.6152 was down 12.65% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.7043, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,076 SOS

2012 Average 3,240 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 2,218 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 858.11 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.6171

0.4500

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5880, compared to 0.4985 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0895 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5880

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4985

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 0.0328 SOS (High: 0.6152 / Low: 0.5824). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0060 SOS (High: 0.4930 / Low: 0.4870).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0328

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0060

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0255 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0255

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2013: 0.6014) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.6490), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0475 (-7.32%).

2013 Avg (April) 0.6014

2012 Avg (April) 0.6490

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6037	0.5885	0.5961
February	0.6100	0.5868	0.5993
March	0.6100	0.5876	0.6032
April	0.6152	0.5824	0.6014
May	0.5899	0.5595	0.5759
June	0.5671	0.5397	0.5523
July	0.5432	0.5287	0.5366
August	0.5326	0.5037	0.5184
September	0.5033	0.4929	0.4985
October	0.4930	0.4870	0.4898
November	0.4880	0.4753	0.4836
December	0.4757	0.4436	0.4639