2016 UGX to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1843 SOS

YEARLY LOW

0.1530 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1738 SOS

2016 UGX to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.1843. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 0.1530.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0313 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1797 to the December average rate of 0.1591, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1843 was down 29.21% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2603, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 921 SOS

2015 Average 1,053 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 765 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 156.41 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1849

0.1568

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1797, compared to 0.1679 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0118 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1797

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1679

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0130 SOS (High: 0.1660 / Low: 0.1530). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0017 SOS (High: 0.1735 / Low: 0.1719).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0130

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0082 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0082

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.1797) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.2510), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0713 (-28.41%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.1797

2015 Avg (January) 0.2510

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1843	0.1763	0.1797
February	0.1820	0.1761	0.1788
March	0.1837	0.1808	0.1821
April	0.1841	0.1805	0.1825
May	0.1831	0.1758	0.1807
June	0.1783	0.1712	0.1747
July	0.1742	0.1700	0.1723
August	0.1740	0.1710	0.1727
September	0.1735	0.1719	0.1726
October	0.1736	0.1658	0.1695
November	0.1660	0.1530	0.1613
December	0.1623	0.1555	0.1591