2018 UGX to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1607 SOS

YEARLY LOW

0.1480 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1554 SOS

2018 UGX to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 0.1607. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 0.1480.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0127 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1593 to the December average rate of 0.1562, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1607 was down 1.96% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1639, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 803 SOS

2017 Average 801 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 740 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 63.39 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1605

0.1494

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1565, compared to 0.1543 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0023 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1565

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1543

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0087 SOS (High: 0.1570 / Low: 0.1483). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0017 SOS (High: 0.1558 / Low: 0.1542).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0087

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0044 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0044

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.1593) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1598), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0005 (-0.32%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.1593

2017 Avg (January) 0.1598

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1607	0.1572	0.1593
February	0.1606	0.1581	0.1596
March	0.1604	0.1571	0.1589
April	0.1578	0.1541	0.1563
May	0.1565	0.1527	0.1547
June	0.1535	0.1480	0.1503
July	0.1570	0.1483	0.1540
August	0.1569	0.1536	0.1550
September	0.1538	0.1510	0.1521
October	0.1545	0.1512	0.1533
November	0.1558	0.1542	0.1550
December	0.1573	0.1548	0.1562