2011 VEF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

671.7880 UGX

YEARLY LOW

531.7438 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

587.3935 UGX

2011 VEF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the VEF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 671.7880. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 531.7438.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 140.0442 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 542.1008 to the December average rate of 570.6866, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.27% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 671.7880 was down 25.00% compared to the 2010 peak of 895.7742, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,358,940 UGX

2010 Average 2,597,811 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,658,719 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 700,220.95 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

666.7020

530.7734

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 554.3291, compared to 620.4579 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 66.1288 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 554.3291

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 620.4579

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 70.5137 UGX (High: 671.7880 / Low: 601.2742). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.1824 UGX (High: 558.8337 / Low: 553.6513).

October Spread (Volatile) ±70.5137

May Spread (Stable) ±5.1824

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 51.4239 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -51.4239

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 652.0407) against the same month in 2010 (average: 527.4455), the exchange rate shifted by +124.5952 (+23.62%).

2011 Avg (October) 652.0407

2010 Avg (October) 527.4455

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	557.0864	531.7438	542.1008
February	555.1099	537.0922	546.3823
March	565.2373	551.5010	558.1879
April	555.6191	542.5629	552.1597
May	558.8337	553.6513	556.2171
June	623.1992	555.9974	570.9266
July	608.6652	591.4790	602.6030
August	658.4286	608.4348	641.4258
September	669.7958	646.5154	655.3746
October	671.7880	601.2742	652.0407
November	613.5529	583.0097	600.6168
December	593.7371	550.1929	570.6866