2014 VEF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

441.3526 UGX

YEARLY LOW

389.8643 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

412.5486 UGX

2014 VEF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the VEF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 30, valuing the pair at 441.3526. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 389.8643.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 51.4884 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 397.4524 to the December average rate of 438.0754, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 441.3526 was down 30.27% compared to the 2013 peak of 632.9013, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,206,763 UGX

2013 Average 2,279,165 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,949,321 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 257,441.76 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

442.6490

387.7657

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 400.8448, compared to 424.2523 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 23.4075 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 400.8448

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 424.2523

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 13.9396 UGX (High: 441.3526 / Low: 427.4130). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.7579 UGX (High: 404.9181 / Low: 400.1602).

November Spread (Volatile) ±13.9396

May Spread (Stable) ±4.7579

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 5.1132 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -5.1132

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 434.0700) against the same month in 2013 (average: 400.9072), the exchange rate shifted by +33.1628 (+8.27%).

2014 Avg (November) 434.0700

2013 Avg (November) 400.9072

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	402.2439	393.0122	397.4524
February	401.6924	389.8643	392.3393
March	407.9253	398.8739	402.5274
April	407.4037	398.9801	401.5135
May	404.9181	400.1602	402.0060
June	414.4428	404.5383	409.2301
July	423.6726	411.9000	418.0875
August	416.7902	411.6900	414.7659
September	421.2230	412.3498	415.6516
October	430.7403	419.6324	424.8635
November	441.3526	427.4130	434.0700
December	440.7139	435.6863	438.0754