2016 VEF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

550.9375 UGX

YEARLY LOW

331.7562 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

391.9648 UGX

2016 VEF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 550.9375. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 331.7562.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 219.1813 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 545.1468 to the December average rate of 360.5169, the exchange rate registered a net change of -33.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 550.9375 was down 5.74% compared to the 2015 peak of 584.4788, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,754,687 UGX

2015 Average 2,562,827 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,658,781 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,095,906.52 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

566.1498

314.1140

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 437.8408, compared to 346.0887 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 91.7521 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 437.8408

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 346.0887

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 19.4273 UGX (High: 550.1850 / Low: 530.7577). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4878 UGX (High: 338.8151 / Low: 337.3273).

February Spread (Volatile) ±19.4273

August Spread (Stable) ±1.4878

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 196.4049 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -196.4049

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 545.1468) against the same month in 2015 (average: 451.4793), the exchange rate shifted by +93.6675 (+20.75%).

2016 Avg (January) 545.1468

2015 Avg (January) 451.4793

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	550.9375	534.5255	545.1468
February	550.1850	530.7577	542.4146
March	534.5719	528.1859	531.5218
April	337.8260	331.7562	335.1170
May	339.5162	332.6146	335.3736
June	342.1981	335.5592	337.4713
July	340.6132	336.8712	338.4989
August	338.8151	337.3273	338.0129
September	339.3828	337.7400	338.8668
October	347.0147	338.6625	343.8213
November	363.6273	347.2269	356.8157
December	363.8971	355.6353	360.5169