2013 VEF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

632.9013 UGX

YEARLY LOW

396.8709 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

456.6341 UGX

2013 VEF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the VEF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 632.9013. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 396.8709.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 236.0304 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 624.5901 to the December average rate of 399.3249, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 632.9013 was up 0.67% compared to the 2012 peak of 628.6780, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,164,507 UGX

2012 Average 2,917,393 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,984,355 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,180,151.89 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

647.1166

376.7984

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 507.8267, compared to 405.4415 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 102.3852 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 507.8267

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 405.4415

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 209.2199 UGX (High: 621.0819 / Low: 411.8620). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.9990 UGX (High: 403.2551 / Low: 399.2561).

March Spread (Volatile) ±209.2199

November Spread (Stable) ±3.9990

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 160.6610 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -160.6610

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 624.5901) against the same month in 2012 (average: 561.6763), the exchange rate shifted by +62.9138 (+11.20%).

2013 Avg (January) 624.5901

2012 Avg (January) 561.6763

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	632.9013	619.3973	624.5901
February	624.9469	613.9144	619.2347
March	621.0819	411.8620	570.2055
April	414.6613	401.5997	409.5445
May	415.1722	405.8634	411.0262
June	414.4718	409.5550	412.3593
July	413.2144	408.8157	411.3984
August	412.0608	407.5310	409.8144
September	412.0566	404.7288	408.3522
October	406.2836	399.3093	402.8519
November	403.2551	399.2561	400.9072
December	401.8174	396.8709	399.3249