2015 VEF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

584.4788 UGX

YEARLY LOW

439.3333 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

512.2311 UGX

2015 VEF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the VEF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 584.4788. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 439.3333.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 145.1456 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 451.4793 to the December average rate of 531.8126, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.79% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 584.4788 was up 32.43% compared to the 2014 peak of 441.3526, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,922,394 UGX

2014 Average 2,063,433 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,196,666 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 725,727.80 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

592.6880

438.6421

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 471.0732, compared to 553.3891 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 82.3159 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 471.0732

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 553.3891

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 42.2807 UGX (High: 558.8794 / Low: 516.5987). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.6103 UGX (High: 475.6243 / Low: 471.0140).

July Spread (Volatile) ±42.2807

April Spread (Stable) ±4.6103

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 34.4510 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -34.4510

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 576.2464) against the same month in 2014 (average: 424.8635), the exchange rate shifted by +151.3829 (+35.63%).

2015 Avg (October) 576.2464

2014 Avg (October) 424.8635

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	459.7994	439.3333	451.4793
February	458.2090	452.7153	454.6640
March	478.4184	457.8603	466.4347
April	475.6243	471.0140	473.7396
May	483.9592	472.7282	475.8865
June	522.1537	484.9955	504.2350
July	558.8794	516.5987	530.0034
August	578.0787	542.3348	560.6258
September	582.9561	577.7922	579.8509
October	584.4788	559.3086	576.2464
November	562.5731	530.7870	541.7953
December	546.8624	520.8726	531.8126