YEARLY HIGH
366.5440 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.0149 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
40.7715 UGX

2018 VEF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the VEF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 366.5440. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 0.0149.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 366.5291 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 360.3056 to the December average rate of 0.0149, the exchange rate registered a net change of -100.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 366.5440 was up 0.11% compared to the 2017 peak of 366.1534, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,832,720 UGX
2017 Average 1,790,702 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 74 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,832,645.75 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

396.3347
-36.0141
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 81.5222, compared to 0.0208 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 81.5014 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 81.5222
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0208

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 364.0254 UGX (High: 364.1512 / Low: 0.1258). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 UGX (High: 0.0151 / Low: 0.0149).

February Spread (Volatile) ±364.0254
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 231.7569 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -231.7569

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 360.3056) against the same month in 2017 (average: 362.0252), the exchange rate shifted by -1.7196 (-0.47%).

2018 Avg (January) 360.3056
2017 Avg (January) 362.0252

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 366.5440 346.5247 360.3056
February 364.1512 0.1258 128.5487
March 0.1261 0.0907 0.1015
April 0.0918 0.0554 0.0776
May 0.0540 0.0468 0.0516
June 0.0489 0.0472 0.0480
July 0.0488 0.0347 0.0421
August 0.0347 0.0150 0.0222
September 0.0154 0.0151 0.0153
October 0.0154 0.0151 0.0152
November 0.0151 0.0149 0.0150
December 0.0151 0.0149 0.0149