YEARLY HIGH
0.0158 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.0147 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0150 UGX

2020 VEF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the VEF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 0.0158. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.0147.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0011 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0148 to the December average rate of 0.0148, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.0158 was up 3.68% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.0152, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 79 UGX
2019 Average 75 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 73 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5.55 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.0153
0.0147
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0150, compared to 0.0149 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0150
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0149

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.0009 UGX (High: 0.0158 / Low: 0.0149). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 UGX (High: 0.0153 / Low: 0.0152).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0009
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 0.0152) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.0149), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0002 (+1.66%).

2020 Avg (March) 0.0152
2019 Avg (March) 0.0149

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0149 0.0147 0.0148
February 0.0149 0.0147 0.0148
March 0.0158 0.0149 0.0152
April 0.0153 0.0151 0.0152
May 0.0153 0.0152 0.0153
June 0.0152 0.0150 0.0150
July 0.0150 0.0148 0.0149
August 0.0149 0.0147 0.0148
September 0.0150 0.0148 0.0149
October 0.0151 0.0149 0.0150
November 0.0151 0.0149 0.0149
December 0.0149 0.0147 0.0148