2011 VUV to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1446 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8513 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9751 KES

2011 VUV to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the VUV to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 1.1446. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 0.8513.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2933 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8638 to the December average rate of 0.9330, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.1446 was up 28.78% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.8888, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,723 KES

2010 Average 4,082 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,257 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,466.47 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.1249

0.8400

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9193, compared to 1.0308 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1115 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9193

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0308

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.1490 KES (High: 1.0981 / Low: 0.9492). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0181 KES (High: 0.8830 / Low: 0.8649).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1490

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0181

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0874 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0874

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 1.1011) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.8602), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2409 (+28.01%).

2011 Avg (October) 1.1011

2010 Avg (October) 0.8602

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8778	0.8513	0.8638
February	0.8830	0.8649	0.8737
March	0.9263	0.8901	0.9027
April	0.9418	0.9046	0.9185
May	0.9765	0.9287	0.9545
June	1.0392	0.9577	1.0027
July	1.0550	0.9969	1.0199
August	1.0660	1.0166	1.0408
September	1.1274	1.0426	1.0696
October	1.1446	1.0823	1.1011
November	1.0981	0.9492	1.0204
December	0.9882	0.8876	0.9330