2014 VUV to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9393 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8718 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9129 KES

2014 VUV to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the VUV to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 19, valuing the pair at 0.9393. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 22, dropping to 0.8718.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0675 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8949 to the December average rate of 0.8854, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.06% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.9393 was down 4.02% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.9787, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,696 KES

2013 Average 4,588 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,359 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 337.36 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.9390

0.8806

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9107, compared to 0.9151 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0044 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9107

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9151

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.0394 KES (High: 0.9112 / Low: 0.8718). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0071 KES (High: 0.9370 / Low: 0.9299).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0394

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0071

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0239 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0239

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2014: 0.9333) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.9016), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0317 (+3.52%).

2014 Avg (August) 0.9333

2013 Avg (August) 0.9016

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9082	0.8852	0.8949
February	0.9006	0.8827	0.8930
March	0.9152	0.8933	0.9008
April	0.9339	0.9133	0.9211
May	0.9337	0.9203	0.9267
June	0.9363	0.9131	0.9275
July	0.9370	0.9299	0.9342
August	0.9393	0.9263	0.9333
September	0.9365	0.9114	0.9245
October	0.9107	0.8954	0.9036
November	0.9145	0.8974	0.9094
December	0.9112	0.8718	0.8854