2021 VUV to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0252 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9723 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9957 KES

2021 VUV to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the VUV to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 1.0252. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 10, dropping to 0.9723.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0528 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0149 to the December average rate of 0.9996, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.0252 was up 0.34% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.0217, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,126 KES

2020 Average 4,598 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,862 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 264.17 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.0181

0.9789

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0004, compared to 0.9911 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0093 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0004

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9911

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was May, with a trading range of 0.0278 KES (High: 1.0001 / Low: 0.9723). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0073 KES (High: 0.9899 / Low: 0.9827).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0278

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0073

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0228 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0228

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1.0149) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.8749), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1400 (+16.00%).

2021 Avg (January) 1.0149

2020 Avg (January) 0.8749

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0252	1.0003	1.0149
February	1.0236	1.0068	1.0141
March	1.0179	0.9970	1.0082
April	0.9948	0.9750	0.9855
May	1.0001	0.9723	0.9885
June	0.9971	0.9824	0.9910
July	0.9866	0.9784	0.9825
August	0.9871	0.9751	0.9821
September	0.9899	0.9827	0.9874
October	1.0005	0.9827	0.9904
November	1.0097	1.0003	1.0044
December	1.0067	0.9948	0.9996