2018 VUV to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9939 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.9052 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9390 KES

2018 VUV to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the VUV to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 0.9939. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 0.9052.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0887 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9775 to the December average rate of 0.9220, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.9939 was down 1.07% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0046, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,969 KES

2017 Average 4,837 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,526 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 443.34 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.9842

0.9038

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9546, compared to 0.9235 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0311 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9546

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9235

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.0419 KES (High: 0.9891 / Low: 0.9471). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0047 KES (High: 0.9326 / Low: 0.9279).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0419

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0047

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0190 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0190

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.9775) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9527), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0249 (+2.61%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.9775

2017 Avg (January) 0.9527

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9939	0.9703	0.9775
February	0.9891	0.9471	0.9663
March	0.9669	0.9484	0.9594
April	0.9622	0.9395	0.9503
May	0.9453	0.9218	0.9346
June	0.9481	0.9238	0.9395
July	0.9369	0.9163	0.9273
August	0.9304	0.9247	0.9279
September	0.9326	0.9279	0.9295
October	0.9313	0.9052	0.9105
November	0.9302	0.9094	0.9236
December	0.9330	0.9111	0.9220