2013 VUV to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9787 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8843 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9180 KES

2013 VUV to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the VUV to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 30, valuing the pair at 0.9787. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 0.8843.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0944 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9604 to the December average rate of 0.8984, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.9787 was up 2.56% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.9542, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,893 KES

2012 Average 4,627 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,421 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 471.95 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.9772

0.8912

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9331, compared to 0.9030 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0301 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9331

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9030

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was January, with a trading range of 0.0342 KES (High: 0.9787 / Low: 0.9444). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0159 KES (High: 0.9094 / Low: 0.8935).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0342

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0159

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0328 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0328

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 0.9604) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.9346), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0258 (+2.76%).

2013 Avg (January) 0.9604

2012 Avg (January) 0.9346

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9787	0.9444	0.9604
February	0.9774	0.9469	0.9700
March	0.9489	0.9286	0.9373
April	0.9324	0.9113	0.9212
May	0.9187	0.8999	0.9074
June	0.9151	0.8909	0.9020
July	0.9132	0.8945	0.9020
August	0.9094	0.8935	0.9016
September	0.9194	0.8935	0.9079
October	0.9098	0.8899	0.9009
November	0.9156	0.8925	0.9071
December	0.9166	0.8843	0.8984