2016 VUV to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9782 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8933 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9330 KES

2016 VUV to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VUV to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 9, valuing the pair at 0.9782. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 26, dropping to 0.8933.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0849 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9062 to the December average rate of 0.9445, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9782 was up 0.87% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.9697, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,891 KES

2015 Average 4,541 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,467 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 424.28 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9581

0.8977

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9172, compared to 0.9488 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0316 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9172

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9488

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.0455 KES (High: 0.9414 / Low: 0.8959). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0102 KES (High: 0.9087 / Low: 0.8984).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0455

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0102

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0203 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0203

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 0.9497) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.9096), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0401 (+4.41%).

2016 Avg (November) 0.9497

2015 Avg (November) 0.9096

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9190	0.8933	0.9062
February	0.9087	0.8984	0.9027
March	0.9425	0.8996	0.9216
April	0.9465	0.9251	0.9380
May	0.9414	0.8959	0.9177
June	0.9373	0.9006	0.9169
July	0.9517	0.9325	0.9423
August	0.9618	0.9323	0.9531
September	0.9602	0.9447	0.9530
October	0.9570	0.9426	0.9504
November	0.9782	0.9410	0.9497
December	0.9529	0.9292	0.9445