2012 VUV to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9542 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.8771 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9253 KES

2012 VUV to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the VUV to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 0.9542. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 13, dropping to 0.8771.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0771 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9346 to the December average rate of 0.9453, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.9542 was down 16.64% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.1446, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VUV based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,771 KES

2011 Average 4,878 KES

Yearly Trough Low 4,386 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 385.35 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.9494

0.9004

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VUV to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9213, compared to 0.9293 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0080 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9213

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9293

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was June, with a trading range of 0.0426 KES (High: 0.9197 / Low: 0.8771). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0137 KES (High: 0.9395 / Low: 0.9258).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0426

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0137

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0141 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0141

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 0.9453) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.9330), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0123 (+1.32%).

2012 Avg (December) 0.9453

2011 Avg (December) 0.9330

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9486	0.9098	0.9346
February	0.9460	0.9166	0.9329
March	0.9505	0.9150	0.9286
April	0.9314	0.9122	0.9208
May	0.9203	0.8920	0.9067
June	0.9197	0.8771	0.9044
July	0.9284	0.9024	0.9213
August	0.9233	0.9093	0.9174
September	0.9448	0.9117	0.9290
October	0.9395	0.9258	0.9302
November	0.9413	0.9197	0.9328
December	0.9542	0.9347	0.9453