YEARLY HIGH
9.4756 SCR
YEARLY LOW
8.2642 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.8551 SCR

2011 BGN to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BGN to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 29, valuing the pair at 9.4756. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 8.2642.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2114 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.4903 to the December average rate of 8.9827, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 9.4756 was up 4.58% compared to the 2010 peak of 9.0604, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 47,378 SCR
2010 Average 41,146 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 41,321 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,056.97 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

9.1502
8.4303
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.8435, compared to 8.8667 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0232 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.8435
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.8667

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.7804 SCR (High: 9.2020 / Low: 8.4216). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3184 SCR (High: 8.7159 / Low: 8.3975).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.7804
February Spread (Stable) ±0.3184

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.3069 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3069

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2011: 9.0495) against the same month in 2010 (average: 8.2281), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8215 (+9.98%).

2011 Avg (April) 9.0495
2010 Avg (April) 8.2281

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.7576 8.2642 8.4903
February 8.7159 8.3975 8.5946
March 9.0219 8.5921 8.8111
April 9.4756 8.7770 9.0495
May 9.4755 8.7891 9.0902
June 9.2388 8.7787 9.0252
July 9.1954 8.6709 8.9269
August 9.2761 8.8406 8.9807
September 9.1084 8.4336 8.6738
October 9.2020 8.4216 8.7939
November 9.1629 8.6952 8.8421
December 9.2370 8.7825 8.9827