YEARLY HIGH
9.1692 SCR
YEARLY LOW
8.2815 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.6174 SCR

2014 BGN to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BGN to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 30, valuing the pair at 9.1692. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 8.2815.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8876 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.4004 to the December average rate of 8.8051, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 9.1692 was up 2.77% compared to the 2013 peak of 8.9220, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 45,846 SCR
2013 Average 41,009 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 41,408 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,438.18 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

9.1057
8.3362
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.5077, compared to 8.7271 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2194 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.5077
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.7271

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.7747 SCR (High: 9.0563 / Low: 8.2815). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1095 SCR (High: 9.0908 / Low: 8.9813).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.7747
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1095

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2365 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2365

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2014: 8.8278) against the same month in 2013 (average: 8.4034), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4245 (+5.05%).

2014 Avg (October) 8.8278
2013 Avg (October) 8.4034

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.4950 8.3261 8.4004
February 8.5233 8.3618 8.4637
March 8.6848 8.4371 8.5737
April 8.6877 8.3978 8.5235
May 8.7638 8.3611 8.5610
June 8.6268 8.4339 8.5238
July 8.6352 8.4440 8.5157
August 8.7311 8.3963 8.5576
September 8.7255 8.4893 8.6146
October 9.1692 8.4434 8.8278
November 9.0908 8.9813 9.0416
December 9.0563 8.2815 8.8051