YEARLY HIGH
8.0574 SCR
YEARLY LOW
7.1071 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.8289 SCR

2019 BGN to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 8.0574. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 11, dropping to 7.1071.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9503 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.9680 to the December average rate of 7.7831, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 8.0574 was down 10.03% compared to the 2018 peak of 8.9556, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,287 SCR
2018 Average 41,117 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 35,536 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,751.44 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

7.9936
7.6863
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.8987, compared to 7.7590 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1397 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.8987
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.7590

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.8137 SCR (High: 7.9208 / Low: 7.1071). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0896 SCR (High: 7.8590 / Low: 7.7694).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.8137
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0896

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1116 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1116

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 7.9680) against the same month in 2018 (average: 8.6784), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7104 (-8.19%).

2019 Avg (January) 7.9680
2018 Avg (January) 8.6784

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.0574 7.8880 7.9680
February 8.0196 7.8755 7.9372
March 8.0226 7.8285 7.9109
April 7.9373 7.7970 7.8626
May 7.8590 7.7694 7.8232
June 7.9610 7.8139 7.8905
July 7.9729 7.7450 7.8402
August 7.9208 7.1071 7.7286
September 7.7841 7.6459 7.7119
October 7.8375 7.6456 7.7529
November 7.9228 7.3707 7.7375
December 7.8578 7.7093 7.7831