YEARLY HIGH
8.2585 SCR
YEARLY LOW
7.0144 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.5106 SCR

2016 BGN to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 14, valuing the pair at 8.2585. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 7.0144.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2442 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.2671 to the December average rate of 7.2134, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.2585 was down 3.86% compared to the 2015 peak of 8.5904, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 41,293 SCR
2015 Average 37,784 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 35,072 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,220.75 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.8500
7.1556
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.5757, compared to 7.4455 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1302 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.5757
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.4455

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.9598 SCR (High: 8.2585 / Low: 7.2987). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1862 SCR (High: 7.6766 / Low: 7.4904).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.9598
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1862

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1708 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1708

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 7.6048) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8.1361), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5314 (-6.53%).

2016 Avg (February) 7.6048
2015 Avg (February) 8.1361

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.5832 7.1222 7.2671
February 8.2585 7.2987 7.6048
March 7.8874 7.3825 7.5666
April 8.1457 7.3414 7.7921
May 8.0479 7.4157 7.6972
June 7.7519 7.1486 7.5264
July 7.6276 7.2098 7.4483
August 7.7470 7.4160 7.5830
September 7.6766 7.4904 7.5929
October 7.6450 7.3163 7.4734
November 7.6111 7.1464 7.3620
December 7.3470 7.0144 7.2134