YEARLY HIGH
9.7311 SCR
YEARLY LOW
8.1538 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.0170 SCR

2012 BGN to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BGN to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 3, valuing the pair at 9.7311. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 10, dropping to 8.1538.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5773 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.1508 to the December average rate of 8.7772, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.08% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 9.7311 was up 2.70% compared to the 2011 peak of 9.4756, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 48,655 SCR
2011 Average 44,284 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 40,769 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,886.40 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

9.6171
8.2893
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.3402, compared to 8.6938 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6464 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.3402
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.6938

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.8099 SCR (High: 9.5367 / Low: 8.7269). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2123 SCR (High: 8.8016 / Low: 8.5893).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.8099
October Spread (Stable) ±0.2123

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.7346 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7346

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2012: 9.4300) against the same month in 2011 (average: 9.0495), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3805 (+4.20%).

2012 Avg (April) 9.4300
2011 Avg (April) 9.0495

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.5367 8.7269 9.1508
February 9.6838 9.2581 9.4617
March 9.7288 9.2127 9.5064
April 9.7311 9.2440 9.4300
May 9.5653 9.0695 9.2571
June 9.3957 8.9997 9.2355
July 9.4113 8.7034 9.1345
August 8.8423 8.1538 8.3999
September 8.7147 8.3261 8.5495
October 8.8016 8.5893 8.6922
November 8.7425 8.4761 8.6097
December 8.8804 8.6308 8.7772