YEARLY HIGH
8.9220 SCR
YEARLY LOW
7.6574 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.2037 SCR

2013 BGN to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the BGN to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 27, valuing the pair at 8.9220. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 21, dropping to 7.6574.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2646 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.8428 to the December average rate of 8.4408, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 8.9220 was down 8.31% compared to the 2012 peak of 9.7311, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 44,610 SCR
2012 Average 45,076 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 38,287 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,322.87 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

8.9475
7.6911
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.1502, compared to 8.2572 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1069 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.1502
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.2572

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 0.6046 SCR (High: 8.8560 / Low: 8.2514). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1354 SCR (High: 8.5047 / Low: 8.3693).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.6046
December Spread (Stable) ±0.1354

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.7717 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7717

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 8.8428) against the same month in 2012 (average: 9.1508), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3080 (-3.37%).

2013 Avg (January) 8.8428
2012 Avg (January) 9.1508

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.9220 8.7203 8.8428
February 8.8560 8.2514 8.6181
March 8.2256 7.6574 7.8464
April 7.8946 7.6579 7.7958
May 7.8879 7.7051 7.8130
June 8.0908 7.8366 7.9853
July 8.1626 7.8198 8.0075
August 8.2351 8.0846 8.1655
September 8.3294 8.0649 8.2135
October 8.5108 8.3115 8.4034
November 8.3957 8.1985 8.3125
December 8.5047 8.3693 8.4408