YEARLY HIGH
8.9556 SCR
YEARLY LOW
7.8295 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.2256 SCR

2018 BGN to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 8.9556. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 7.8295.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1260 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.6784 to the December average rate of 7.9537, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.9556 was up 3.84% compared to the 2017 peak of 8.6247, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 44,778 SCR
2017 Average 39,262 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 39,148 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,630.21 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.7530
7.8572
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.4265, compared to 8.0246 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4019 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.4265
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.0246

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.6228 SCR (High: 8.5702 / Low: 7.9474). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0876 SCR (High: 8.1383 / Low: 8.0507).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.6228
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0876

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2969 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2969

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 8.5977) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.3183), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2794 (+17.48%).

2018 Avg (February) 8.5977
2017 Avg (February) 7.3183

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.9306 8.4553 8.6784
February 8.9556 8.3959 8.5977
March 8.9483 8.4522 8.6024
April 8.6974 8.3087 8.4557
May 8.5702 7.9474 8.1588
June 8.1805 8.0118 8.0660
July 8.1383 8.0507 8.0969
August 8.1497 7.8835 8.0176
September 8.5377 8.0384 8.1320
October 8.1774 7.8906 8.0157
November 8.0045 7.8295 7.9319
December 8.1096 7.8870 7.9537