2011 BIF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0867 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0640 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0734 KES

2011 BIF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BIF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 0.0867. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 0.0640.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0227 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0713 to the December average rate of 0.0671, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0867 was up 19.67% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0724, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 433 KES

2010 Average 349 KES

Yearly Trough Low 320 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 113.61 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0836

0.0656

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0714, compared to 0.0753 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0039 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0714

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0753

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 0.0088 KES (High: 0.0728 / Low: 0.0640). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 KES (High: 0.0717 / Low: 0.0710).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0088

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0083 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0083

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 0.0821) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0711), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0111 (+15.56%).

2011 Avg (October) 0.0821

2010 Avg (October) 0.0711

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0717	0.0710	0.0713
February	0.0725	0.0712	0.0717
March	0.0754	0.0726	0.0742
April	0.0734	0.0679	0.0690
May	0.0712	0.0680	0.0696
June	0.0747	0.0701	0.0726
July	0.0745	0.0720	0.0733
August	0.0774	0.0741	0.0756
September	0.0834	0.0760	0.0784
October	0.0867	0.0806	0.0821
November	0.0797	0.0722	0.0754
December	0.0728	0.0640	0.0671