2013 BIF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0579 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0530 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0556 KES

2013 BIF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the BIF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 23, valuing the pair at 0.0579. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 9, dropping to 0.0530.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0050 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0573 to the December average rate of 0.0558, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.63% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.0579 was down 14.11% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.0674, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BIF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 290 KES

2012 Average 302 KES

Yearly Trough Low 265 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 24.77 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.0577

0.0532

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BIF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0551, compared to 0.0561 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0551

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0561

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.0031 KES (High: 0.0574 / Low: 0.0543). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 KES (High: 0.0571 / Low: 0.0567).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0031

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0015 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0015

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 0.0573) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.0663), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0090 (-13.56%).

2013 Avg (January) 0.0573

2012 Avg (January) 0.0663

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0579	0.0561	0.0573
February	0.0564	0.0554	0.0558
March	0.0574	0.0543	0.0551
April	0.0544	0.0532	0.0536
May	0.0548	0.0530	0.0535
June	0.0554	0.0545	0.0550
July	0.0571	0.0556	0.0562
August	0.0571	0.0567	0.0569
September	0.0570	0.0562	0.0568
October	0.0564	0.0548	0.0553
November	0.0562	0.0551	0.0556
December	0.0562	0.0554	0.0558