2011 BMD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

106.2632 KES

YEARLY LOW

80.6511 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

88.7107 KES

2011 BMD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BMD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 106.2632. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 80.6511.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 25.6121 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 80.9650 to the December average rate of 86.4366, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 106.2632 was up 29.28% compared to the 2010 peak of 82.1947, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 531,316 KES

2010 Average 396,096 KES

Yearly Trough Low 403,256 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 128,060.56 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

102.9853

78.9632

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BMD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 84.1422, compared to 93.2792 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 9.1370 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 84.1422

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 93.2792

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 9.1807 KES (High: 102.8381 / Low: 93.6574). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6150 KES (High: 81.2661 / Low: 80.6511).

September Spread (Volatile) ±9.1807

January Spread (Stable) ±0.6150

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 7.7984 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -7.7984

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 100.9834) against the same month in 2010 (average: 80.6621), the exchange rate shifted by +20.3214 (+25.19%).

2011 Avg (October) 100.9834

2010 Avg (October) 80.6621

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	81.2661	80.6511	80.9650
February	82.3789	80.9420	81.5158
March	86.0064	82.7381	84.2934
April	84.2305	83.2739	83.8205
May	86.8096	83.2721	85.2966
June	91.5070	85.8831	88.9622
July	91.1475	88.5867	89.9097
August	94.9430	91.1356	92.8810
September	102.8381	93.6574	96.2795
October	106.2632	99.1954	100.9834
November	98.3241	89.1982	93.1850
December	89.8977	83.4418	86.4366