2012 BMD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

87.5687 KES

YEARLY LOW

82.0505 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

84.4822 KES

2012 BMD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BMD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 87.5687. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 82.0505.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.5182 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 86.1027 to the December average rate of 85.9696, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 87.5687 was down 17.59% compared to the 2011 peak of 106.2632, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 437,843 KES

2011 Average 443,748 KES

Yearly Trough Low 410,252 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,591.00 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

86.4253

82.5544

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BMD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 84.0292, compared to 84.9352 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.9060 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 84.0292

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 84.9352

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 3.7060 KES (High: 87.5687 / Low: 83.8627). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2705 KES (High: 83.2849 / Low: 83.0144).

January Spread (Volatile) ±3.7060

April Spread (Stable) ±0.2705

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 3.0461 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.0461

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 86.1027) against the same month in 2011 (average: 80.9650), the exchange rate shifted by +5.1377 (+6.35%).

2012 Avg (January) 86.1027

2011 Avg (January) 80.9650

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	87.5687	83.8627	86.1027
February	83.7455	82.5536	83.0567
March	83.1945	82.0505	82.8770
April	83.2849	83.0144	83.1203
May	86.7560	83.0573	84.2582
June	86.1991	83.1774	84.7600
July	84.3931	83.8768	84.1842
August	84.3625	83.8198	84.0754
September	85.4856	84.0157	84.6387
October	85.2958	84.8432	85.1374
November	85.9533	85.2881	85.6058
December	86.1088	85.6651	85.9696