2018 BMD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

103.7062 KES

YEARLY LOW

99.8717 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

101.2898 KES

2018 BMD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BMD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 103.7062. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 22, dropping to 99.8717.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8346 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 102.8733 to the December average rate of 102.1939, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 103.7062 was down 0.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 104.0218, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 518,531 KES

2017 Average 516,990 KES

Yearly Trough Low 499,358 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,172.79 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

103.0999

100.3807

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BMD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 101.2851, compared to 101.2944 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0093 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 101.2851

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 101.2944

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 1.8565 KES (High: 103.1949 / Low: 101.3384). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5128 KES (High: 101.1856 / Low: 100.6728).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.8565

September Spread (Stable) ±0.5128

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.4647 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4647

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 102.8733) against the same month in 2017 (average: 103.7377), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8644 (-0.83%).

2018 Avg (January) 102.8733

2017 Avg (January) 103.7377

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	103.7062	102.3000	102.8733
February	101.9050	100.7480	101.4086
March	101.3980	100.7490	101.1581
April	101.1000	99.8717	100.6073
May	101.5510	100.1440	100.6456
June	101.3940	100.7335	101.0177
July	101.1030	99.9600	100.6524
August	100.9500	100.3300	100.6793
September	101.1856	100.6728	100.8472
October	101.9100	100.6599	101.0854
November	103.1949	101.3384	102.3084
December	102.6100	101.3400	102.1939