2019 BMD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

104.2045 KES

YEARLY LOW

99.5800 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

101.9845 KES

2019 BMD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BMD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 30, valuing the pair at 104.2045. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 10, dropping to 99.5800.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.6245 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 101.5756 to the December average rate of 101.4340, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 104.2045 was up 0.48% compared to the 2018 peak of 103.7062, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 521,023 KES

2018 Average 506,449 KES

Yearly Trough Low 497,900 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,122.50 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

104.1084

99.8693

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BMD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 101.0211, compared to 102.9480 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.9270 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 101.0211

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 102.9480

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was November, with a trading range of 2.1600 KES (High: 103.3100 / Low: 101.1500). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5647 KES (High: 101.4600 / Low: 100.8953).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.1600

May Spread (Stable) ±0.5647

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.3530 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3530

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 103.2105) against the same month in 2018 (average: 100.6524), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5581 (+2.54%).

2019 Avg (July) 103.2105

2018 Avg (July) 100.6524

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	102.2070	100.3200	101.5756
February	100.7300	100.0492	100.2225
March	101.0100	99.5800	100.3680
April	101.6035	100.6400	101.0969
May	101.4600	100.8953	101.1851
June	102.3500	101.1400	101.6783
July	104.2045	102.2400	103.2105
August	103.6100	102.9900	103.2777
September	103.9505	102.9500	103.7551
October	103.9100	103.1781	103.6772
November	103.3100	101.1500	102.3337
December	102.7100	100.6000	101.4340