2016 BMD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

102.9469 KES

YEARLY LOW

100.4095 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

101.5087 KES

2016 BMD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BMD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 102.9469. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 8, dropping to 100.4095.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5374 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 102.3495 to the December average rate of 102.1810, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 102.9469 was down 2.91% compared to the 2015 peak of 106.0289, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 514,735 KES

2015 Average 491,195 KES

Yearly Trough Low 502,048 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,687.01 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

102.5094

100.5904

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BMD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 101.4828, compared to 101.5346 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0518 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 101.4828

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 101.5346

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 1.0890 KES (High: 102.9469 / Low: 101.8579). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1619 KES (High: 101.3167 / Low: 101.1548).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.0890

September Spread (Stable) ±0.1619

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.5063 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5063

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 102.3495) against the same month in 2015 (average: 91.3616), the exchange rate shifted by +10.9878 (+12.03%).

2016 Avg (January) 102.3495

2015 Avg (January) 91.3616

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	102.9469	101.8579	102.3495
February	102.3941	101.6050	101.9602
March	101.6794	101.0230	101.4539
April	101.5921	101.0610	101.2485
May	101.0958	100.4095	100.7504
June	101.3039	100.8569	101.1343
July	101.5694	101.0490	101.3044
August	101.7364	101.2643	101.3999
September	101.3167	101.1548	101.2461
October	101.5132	100.9518	101.3201
November	101.8755	101.4793	101.7562
December	102.4900	101.7100	102.1810