2013 BTN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6487 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.2936 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.4774 KES

2013 BTN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the BTN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 1.6487. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 28, dropping to 1.2936.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3551 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6004 to the December average rate of 1.3945, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.6487 was down 4.44% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.7253, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,243 KES

2012 Average 8,029 KES

Yearly Trough Low 6,468 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,775.47 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.6505

1.3446

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5586, compared to 1.3961 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1626 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5586

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3961

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was August, with a trading range of 0.1507 KES (High: 1.4443 / Low: 1.2936). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0237 KES (High: 1.3989 / Low: 1.3752).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1507

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0237

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0623 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0623

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 1.6250) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.6863), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0612 (-3.63%).

2013 Avg (February) 1.6250

2012 Avg (February) 1.6863

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6454	1.5687	1.6004
February	1.6487	1.5912	1.6250
March	1.5874	1.5602	1.5763
April	1.5720	1.5377	1.5489
May	1.5578	1.5082	1.5317
June	1.5074	1.4270	1.4694
July	1.4770	1.4305	1.4538
August	1.4443	1.2936	1.3971
September	1.4042	1.2969	1.3701
October	1.3989	1.3752	1.3847
November	1.3970	1.3512	1.3763
December	1.4225	1.3822	1.3945