YEARLY HIGH
1.5185 KES
YEARLY LOW
1.3774 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4377 KES

2020 BTN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the BTN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 1.5185. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 2, dropping to 1.3774.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1411 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4192 to the December average rate of 1.5008, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.75% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.5185 was up 0.32% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.5137, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,593 KES
2019 Average 7,250 KES
Yearly Trough Low 6,887 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 705.47 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.5112
1.3861
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4069, compared to 1.4684 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0616 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4069
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4684

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was December, with a trading range of 0.0421 KES (High: 1.5185 / Low: 1.4764). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0189 KES (High: 1.4203 / Low: 1.4014).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0421
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0189

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0145 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0145

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 1.5008) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.4252), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0756 (+5.31%).

2020 Avg (December) 1.5008
2019 Avg (December) 1.4252

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4371 1.4056 1.4192
February 1.4203 1.4014 1.4111
March 1.4160 1.3835 1.3966
April 1.4171 1.3774 1.3982
May 1.4387 1.3971 1.4115
June 1.4157 1.3966 1.4049
July 1.4489 1.4078 1.4323
August 1.4764 1.4366 1.4503
September 1.4907 1.4706 1.4773
October 1.4855 1.4580 1.4775
November 1.4887 1.4585 1.4725
December 1.5185 1.4764 1.5008