2018 BTN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6326 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.3588 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.4850 KES

2018 BTN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BTN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 1.6326. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 9, dropping to 1.3588.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2737 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6168 to the December average rate of 1.4467, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.6326 was down 7.92% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.7730, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,163 KES

2017 Average 7,949 KES

Yearly Trough Low 6,794 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,368.72 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.6412

1.3492

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5437, compared to 1.4263 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1174 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5437

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4263

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0923 KES (High: 1.4727 / Low: 1.3804). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0135 KES (High: 1.4733 / Low: 1.4598).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0923

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0135

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0481 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0481

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 1.6168) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.5236), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0932 (+6.12%).

2018 Avg (January) 1.6168

2017 Avg (January) 1.5236

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6326	1.6029	1.6168
February	1.5983	1.5542	1.5753
March	1.5643	1.5453	1.5556
April	1.5610	1.4973	1.5323
May	1.5122	1.4730	1.4914
June	1.5105	1.4711	1.4907
July	1.4733	1.4598	1.4657
August	1.4695	1.4190	1.4477
September	1.4190	1.3862	1.3996
October	1.3870	1.3588	1.3736
November	1.4727	1.3804	1.4244
December	1.4663	1.4230	1.4467