2017 BTN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7730 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.5050 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5895 KES

2017 BTN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the BTN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 16, valuing the pair at 1.7730. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 1.5050.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2680 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5236 to the December average rate of 1.6047, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.32% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 1.7730 was up 14.45% compared to the 2016 peak of 1.5492, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,865 KES

2016 Average 7,556 KES

Yearly Trough Low 7,525 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,339.90 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

1.6443

1.5127

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5728, compared to 1.6061 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0333 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5728

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6061

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was August, with a trading range of 0.1651 KES (High: 1.7730 / Low: 1.6079). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0154 KES (High: 1.6083 / Low: 1.5929).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1651

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0154

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0315 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0315

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2017: 1.6333) against the same month in 2016 (average: 1.5151), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1182 (+7.80%).

2017 Avg (August) 1.6333

2016 Avg (August) 1.5151

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5284	1.5050	1.5236
February	1.5502	1.5293	1.5451
March	1.5872	1.5254	1.5591
April	1.6105	1.5874	1.6013
May	1.6131	1.5915	1.6022
June	1.6083	1.5929	1.6056
July	1.6198	1.6004	1.6106
August	1.7730	1.6079	1.6333
September	1.6127	1.5725	1.6018
October	1.5991	1.5763	1.5891
November	1.6074	1.5873	1.5973
December	1.6178	1.5918	1.6047