2015 BTN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6214 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.4306 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5308 KES

2015 BTN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the BTN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 20, valuing the pair at 1.6214. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 1.4306.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1908 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4686 to the December average rate of 1.5354, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.6214 was up 7.87% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.5031, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,107 KES

2014 Average 7,208 KES

Yearly Trough Low 7,153 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 953.95 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.6053

1.4562

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4912, compared to 1.5704 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0792 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4912

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5704

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.0644 KES (High: 1.4950 / Low: 1.4306). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0173 KES (High: 1.4835 / Low: 1.4662).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0644

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0173

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0332 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0332

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2015: 1.5929) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1.4614), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1314 (+8.99%).

2015 Avg (July) 1.5929

2014 Avg (July) 1.4614

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.4950	1.4306	1.4686
February	1.4835	1.4662	1.4746
March	1.4800	1.4565	1.4690
April	1.5007	1.4777	1.4896
May	1.5458	1.4888	1.5124
June	1.5586	1.5051	1.5331
July	1.6214	1.5598	1.5929
August	1.5978	1.5599	1.5763
September	1.6029	1.5694	1.5910
October	1.5935	1.5609	1.5800
November	1.5630	1.5276	1.5469
December	1.5466	1.5191	1.5354