YEARLY HIGH
1.5249 KES
YEARLY LOW
1.4189 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4847 KES

2025 BTN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the BTN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 21, valuing the pair at 1.5249. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 1.4189.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1060 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5003 to the December average rate of 1.4337, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 1.5249 was down 22.45% compared to the 2024 peak of 1.9664, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,625 KES
2024 Average 8,055 KES
Yearly Trough Low 7,094 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 530.14 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

1.5256
1.4253
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5029, compared to 1.4665 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0364 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5029
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4665

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was July, with a trading range of 0.0415 KES (High: 1.5169 / Low: 1.4754). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0182 KES (High: 1.4724 / Low: 1.4542).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0415
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0182

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0259 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0259

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2025: 1.5138) against the same month in 2024 (average: 1.5755), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0617 (-3.91%).

2025 Avg (April) 1.5138
2024 Avg (April) 1.5755

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5111 1.4905 1.5003
February 1.5003 1.4680 1.4858
March 1.5134 1.4737 1.4939
April 1.5249 1.5031 1.5138
May 1.5247 1.5048 1.5172
June 1.5150 1.4914 1.5064
July 1.5169 1.4754 1.5029
August 1.4853 1.4657 1.4770
September 1.4738 1.4542 1.4655
October 1.4724 1.4542 1.4625
November 1.4688 1.4463 1.4574
December 1.4412 1.4189 1.4337