2026 BTN to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.4364 KES

YEARLY LOW

1.3405 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.3858 KES

2026 BTN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the BTN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 1.4364. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 1.3405.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0959 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4211 to the December average rate of 1.3504, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.4364 was down 5.81% compared to the 2025 peak of 1.5249, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,182 KES

2025 Average 7,423 KES

Yearly Trough Low 6,703 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 479.51 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1.4282

1.3434

JanuMarcMayJuly

BTN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3916, compared to 1.3504 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0412 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3916

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3504

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.0497 KES (High: 1.4177 / Low: 1.3680). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0111 KES (High: 1.3628 / Low: 1.3518).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0497

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0111

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0296 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0296

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 1.4211) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1.5003), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0792 (-5.28%).

2026 Avg (January) 1.4211

2025 Avg (January) 1.5003

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.4364	1.3940	1.4211
February	1.4276	1.4035	1.4208
March	1.4177	1.3680	1.3961
April	1.4061	1.3617	1.3878
May	1.3628	1.3518	1.3582
June	1.3778	1.3517	1.3657
July	1.3683	1.3405	1.3504