YEARLY HIGH
1.8874 KES
YEARLY LOW
1.4894 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6934 KES

2023 BTN to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the BTN to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 1.8874. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 1.4894.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3980 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5150 to the December average rate of 1.8538, the exchange rate registered a net change of 22.36% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1.8874 was up 22.88% compared to the 2022 peak of 1.5359, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,437 KES
2022 Average 7,507 KES
Yearly Trough Low 7,447 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,989.77 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1.8877
1.4811
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6031, compared to 1.7836 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1804 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6031
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7836

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was April, with a trading range of 0.0722 KES (High: 1.6847 / Low: 1.6125). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0211 KES (High: 1.6768 / Low: 1.6557).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0722
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0211

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 1.8538) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1.4921), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3617 (+24.24%).

2023 Avg (December) 1.8538
2022 Avg (December) 1.4921

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5300 1.4894 1.5150
February 1.5375 1.5105 1.5212
March 1.6153 1.5437 1.5761
April 1.6847 1.6125 1.6408
May 1.6768 1.6557 1.6675
June 1.7240 1.6651 1.6983
July 1.7387 1.6966 1.7224
August 1.7571 1.7163 1.7360
September 1.7842 1.7537 1.7682
October 1.8123 1.7750 1.7950
November 1.8409 1.8058 1.8261
December 1.8874 1.8289 1.8538