YEARLY HIGH
110.7115 DJF
YEARLY LOW
102.4836 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
106.8242 DJF

2012 GEL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GEL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 14, valuing the pair at 110.7115. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 4, dropping to 102.4836.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.2279 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 106.8157 to the December average rate of 107.1223, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.29% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 110.7115 was up 2.06% compared to the 2011 peak of 108.4742, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 553,557 DJF
2011 Average 527,740 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 512,418 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 41,139.57 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

110.8088
102.2949
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 108.6188, compared to 105.0296 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.5892 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 108.6188
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 105.0296

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was October, with a trading range of 5.2060 DJF (High: 107.6896 / Low: 102.4836). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6808 DJF (High: 103.4174 / Low: 102.7366).

October Spread (Volatile) ±5.2060
August Spread (Stable) ±0.6808

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 5.7837 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.7837

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2012: 110.0993) against the same month in 2011 (average: 106.0278), the exchange rate shifted by +4.0715 (+3.84%).

2012 Avg (May) 110.0993
2011 Avg (May) 106.0278

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 107.3707 106.5364 106.8157
February 109.6460 106.6605 107.6145
March 109.4086 106.8465 108.2743
April 110.2361 108.3491 109.3979
May 110.7115 109.5514 110.0993
June 110.3734 108.9646 109.5111
July 106.7722 102.7122 103.7274
August 103.4174 102.7366 103.1196
September 103.4951 102.6248 103.0044
October 107.6896 102.4836 106.1744
November 107.4716 106.5097 107.0294
December 107.7175 106.5923 107.1223